Situation Report for COVID-19: Turkey, 2020-10-25


Download the report for Turkey, 2020-10-25 here.

This report uses data from the European Centre for Disease Control. These data are updated daily and whilst there may be a short delay, they are generally consistent with Ministry reports. These data are then used to back-calculate an ‘inferred number of COVID-19 infections’ using mathematical modelling techniques (see Report 12 for further details) to estimate the number of people that have been infected and to make short-term projections for future healthcare needs.


Epidemiological Situation

Total Reported Cases New Reported Cases Total Reported Deaths New Reported Deaths Estimated \(R_{eff}\)
359,784 2,091 9,727 69 1.02 (95% CI: 0.92-1.12)

The figure below shows the cumulative reported deaths as a function of the time since the 10th death was reported. Dashed lines show the expected trajectory for different doubling times of the epidemic. For example, with a doubling time of 3 days, if there are currently a total of 20 deaths reported, we would expect there to be 40 deaths in total reported in 3 days-time, 80 deaths in 6 days-time, 160 deaths in 9 days-time etc. For most epidemics, in the absence of interventions, we expect a doubling time of 3-4 days for this disease.